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Risk, Benefit, and Cost Analysis (including expert judgment)

 

Fischhoff, B.  (2015).  The realities of risk-cost-benefit analysis.  Science, 350(6260), 527.  

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aaa6516

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Bruine de Bruin, W., Fischhoff, B., Brilliant, L., & Caruso, D.  (2006).  Expert judgments of pandemic influenza. Global Public Health 1(2), 178-193. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441690600673940

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Löfstedt, R., Fischhoff, B., & Fischhoff, I.  (2002).  Precautionary principles: General definitions and specific applications to genetically modified organisms (GMOs).  Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 21(3), 381-407.  https://doi.org/10.1002/pam.10051

 

Casman, E., Fischhoff, B., Palmgren, C., Small, M., & Wu, F.  (2002).  Integrated risk model of a drinking waterborne Cryptosporidiosis outbreak.  Risk Analysis, 20, 493-509. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.204047

 

Riley, D.M., Fischhoff, B., Small, M., & Fischbeck, P.  (2001). Evaluating the effectiveness of risk-reduction strategies for consumer chemical products.  Risk Analysis, 21, 357-369.

https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.212117

 

Long, J., & Fischhoff, B. (2000).  Setting risk priorities: A formal model.  Risk Analysis, 20, 339-351. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.203033

 

Fischhoff, B. (1989). Eliciting knowledge for analytical representation. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 13, 448-461. https://doi.org/10.1109/21.31052

 

Svenson, O., & Fischhoff, B.   (1985).  Levels of environmental decisions.  Journal of Environmental Psychology, 5, 55-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0272-4944(85)80038-4

 

Murphy, A.H., Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Winkler, R.L.  (1980).  Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts.  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 61, 695-701. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26221118

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Fischhoff, B.  (1980).  Clinical decision analysis.  Operations Research, 28, 28-43. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.1.28  

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Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S.  (1979).  Weighing the risks. Environment, 21(5), 17-20, 32-38. https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.1979.9929722  

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Fischhoff, B.  (1978).  Intuitive use of formal models.  A comment on Morrison's "Quantitative Models in History."  History and Theory, 17, 207-210. https://doi.org/10.2307/2504845

 

Fischhoff, B., Hohenemser, C., Kasperson, R. E. & Kates, R. W.  (1978).  Can hazard management be improved? Environment, 20(7), 16-20 & 32-37. https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.1978.9928700

Baruch Fischhoff

Carnegie Mellon University

Department of Engineering and Public Policy

Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy & Technology 

5000 Forbes Ave

Pittsburgh, PA, 15213-3890

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