Judgment and Decision Making
Overviews/Essays
Fischhoff, B. (2025). Heuristic assumptions. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. (special issue tribute to Daniel Kahneman), 70, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-024-09437-3
Fischhoff, B. (2024). Retrospective: Daniel Kahneman (1934-2024). Science, 384(66995), n5151. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adp6405
Fischhoff, B., & Broomell, S.B. (2020). Judgment and decision making. Annual Review of Psychology, 71. 331-355. doi: 10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-050747
http://www.annualreviews.org/eprint/KXBRW9TWBZZ9X2TFHJJY/full/10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-050747
Fischhoff, B. (2020). The microbiomes of gut-level decisions. CQ (Critical Quarterly), 62(1), 30--37. doi.org/10.1111/criq.12525
Fischhoff, B. (2019). Tough calls. Scientific American, 321(3), 74-79. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/when-assessing-novel-risks-facts-are-not-enough/;
Fischhoff, B. (2012). Robyn Mason Dawes (1936-2010). American Psychologist, 67, 319-320. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0028174
Fischhoff, B. (1996). The real world: What good is it? Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 232-248. https://doi.org/10.1006/obhd.1996.0024
Fischhoff, B. (1992). Giving advice: Decision theory perspectives on sexual assault. American Psychologist, 47, 577-588. https://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.47.4.577
Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., & Fischhoff, B. (1988). Decision making. In R.C. Atkinson, R.J. Herrnstein, G. Lindzey & R.D. Luce (eds.), Stevens' Handbook of Experimental Psychology, second edition (pp. 673-738). New York: Wiley.
Fischhoff, B. & Beyth-Marom, R. (1983). Hypothesis evaluation from a Bayesian perspective. Psychological Review, 90, 239-260. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.90.3.239
Slovic, P. & Fischhoff, B. (1982). Targeting risks: Comments on Wilde's "Theory of Risk Homeostasis." Risk Analysis, 2, 227-234. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1982.tb01385.x
Fischhoff, B. (1982). Debiasing. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 422-444). New York: Cambridge University Press.
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B. & Lichtenstein, S. (1977). Behavioral decision theory. Annual Review of Psychology, 28, 1-39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ps.28.020177.000245
Empirical Articles
Fischhoff, B. & Bar-Hillel, M. (1984). Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improving probability judgments? Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 34(2), 175-191. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(84)90002-3
Fischhoff, B. & Bar-Hillel, M. (1984). Diagnosticity and the base-rate effect. Memory and Cognition, 12, 402-410. https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03198301
Beyth-Marom, R. & Fischhoff, B. (1983). Diagnosticity and pseudodiagnosticity. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 45, 1185-1195. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.45.6.1185
Bar-Hillel, M & Fischhoff, B. (1981). When do base rates affect predictions? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 41, 671-680. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.41.4.671
Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1979). Subjective sensitivity analysis. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 23, 339-359. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(79)90002-3
Lichtenstein, S., Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B, Layman, M. & Combs, B. (1978). Judged frequency of lethal events. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory, 4, 551-578.
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Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1978). Fault trees: Sensitivity of assessed failure probabilities to problem representation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 4, 330-344. https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.4.2.330
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Beyth-Marom, R. & Fischhoff, B. (1977). Direct measures of availability and judgments of category frequency. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 9, 236-238. https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03336986