Hindsight and Learning from Experience

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Fischhoff, B. (2025). Fifty years of hindsight bias research. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 51(2), 143-150.  https://doi.org/10.1037/xhp0001232

 

Klein, O., Hegarty, P., & Fischhoff, B.  (2017).  Hindsight forty years on.  Memory Studies, 10(3), 249-260. https://doi.org/10.1177/1750698017701606

 

Fischhoff, B., Gonzalez, R.M., Lerner, J.S., & Small, D.A.  (2005).  Evolving judgments of terror risks: Foresight, hindsight, and emotion.  Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 11, 124-139.  https://doi.org/10.1037/1076-898X.11.2.124

 

Fischhoff, B.  (1980). For those condemned to study the past: Reflections on historical judgment. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic and A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases.  New York: Cambridge University Press, 1982.

 

Slovic, P. & Fischhoff, B.  (1977).  On the psychology of experimental surprises. Journal of Experimental Psychology:  Human Perception and Performance, 3, 544-551.  https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.3.4.544

 

Fischhoff, B.  (1977).  Perceived informativeness of facts.  Journal of Experimental Psychology:  Human Perception and Performance, 3, 349-358. https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.3.2.349

 

Fischhoff, B. & Beyth, R.  (1975).  "I knew it would happen"--Remembered probabilities of once-future things.  Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 13, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(75)90002-1

 

Fischhoff, B.  (1975).  Hindsight-foresight:  The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.  Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1(3), 288-299. https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.1.3.288